Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.727048 1.989462 2.278145 2.619283 3.011441 3.448208 3.971716
2025-05-18 1.317888 1.649933 2.046157 2.553827 3.187283 3.952082 4.946488
2025-05-25 1.014324 1.364534 1.812803 2.428713 3.253577 4.321260 5.810512
2025-06-01 0.836030 1.198686 1.692654 2.414713 3.444316 4.861753 6.965876
2025-06-08 0.692707 1.051689 1.568709 2.367692 3.572955 5.326606 8.079509
2025-06-15 0.627545 1.003535 1.573151 2.498979 3.968744 6.217245 9.930594
2025-06-22 0.553929 0.929025 1.524272 2.537604 4.223399 6.923754 11.595669
2025-06-29 0.481280 0.843570 1.443717 2.510138 4.362825 7.459508 13.052832
2025-07-06 0.406604 0.742631 1.322028 2.393612 4.332115 7.703454 14.042591
2025-07-13 0.378110 0.717780 1.325886 2.493597 4.687671 8.648212 16.381337
2025-07-20 0.355338 0.699623 1.338264 2.608900 5.083489 9.710245 19.071777
2025-07-27 0.330223 0.673115 1.330988 2.684770 5.412607 10.686066 21.723395
2025-08-03 0.299633 0.633038 1.295380 2.706669 5.652173 11.546226 24.321341
2025-08-10 0.263240 0.575868 1.218325 2.634411 5.692745 12.021211 26.212207
2025-08-17 0.226545 0.512547 1.119811 2.502826 5.589972 12.188096 27.477343
2025-08-24 0.204616 0.478212 1.077746 2.486953 5.734388 12.895170 30.022179
2025-08-31 0.182882 0.441049 1.024292 2.437710 5.796739 13.430515 32.256665
2025-09-07 0.176534 0.438843 1.049144 2.572379 6.301636 15.027233 37.191673
2025-09-14 0.164400 0.420878 1.034890 2.611847 6.585593 16.149565 41.150418
2025-09-21 0.149516 0.393866 0.995286 2.583413 6.698978 16.879673 44.244380
2025-09-28 0.131384 0.355860 0.923470 2.463399 6.564327 16.983135 45.757395
2025-10-05 0.126443 0.351836 0.936870 2.566241 7.021569 18.637383 51.571942
2025-10-12 0.122462 0.349827 0.955207 2.684867 7.537748 20.512813 58.255369